The South Alabama Jaguars (5-5, 4-2 Sun Belt) are on the road Saturday to play the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-9, 0-6 Sun Belt) in Hattiesburg, Mississippi at M.M. Roberts Stadium. South Alabama defeated Louisiana 24-22 last Saturday and has won three of the last four. South Alabama is one game behind first-place Louisiana in the West division of the Sun Belt. Southern Miss was defeated by Texas State 58-3 last Saturday and the Golden Eagles have lost each of the last eight. Who will win this South Alabama vs. Southern Miss prediction?
Southern Miss is last in the West division of the Sun Belt. South Alabama DL Carlos Johnson is questionable. Southern Miss does not have any players listed on its injury report.
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South Alabama scores well and its defense is above average
The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 34.4 points and 446.7 yards of total offense per game, which are 25th and 22nd respectively. South Alabama averages 199.7 (24th) yards rushing and 247.0 (46th) yards passing per game. South Alabama’s defense is allowing an average of 24.5 points and 396.3 yards per game, which are 66th and 96th respectively. The Jaguars are allowing an average of 130.9 (47th) yards rushing and 265.4 (124th) yards passing per game
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South Alabama quarterback Gio Lopez has 2,176 yards passing with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Fluff Bothwell is leading all rushers for South Alabama with 647 yards and 10 touchdowns. Bothwell is averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Jamaal Pritchett is the leading receiver with 940 yards and seven touchdown receptions while averaging 12.9 yards per reception. Linebacker Blayne Myrick is the leading tackler with 75 and linebacker Courtney McBride Jr is the leader in quarterback sacks with 4.0. Safety Jaden Voisin is the leader in interceptions with four.
Southern Miss cannot score and cannot stop opponents from scoring
Southern Miss is averaging 14.9 points and 281.0 yards of total offense per game, which are both 131st. Southern Miss is averaging 110.7 (119th) yards rushing and 170.3 (122nd) yards passing per game. The Golden Eagles’ defense is allowing an average of 36.6 points and 455.1 yards per game which are 125th and 122nd respectively. Southern Miss is allowing an average of 233.3 (132nd) yards rushing and 221.8 (73rd) yards passing per game.
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Southern Miss used two quarterbacks in its loss last Saturday to Texas State. Tate Rodemaker started under center and has 643 yards passing with four touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Ethan Crawford has 849 yards passing with seven interceptions and has not yet thrown a touchdown pass. Rodrigues Clark is the leading rusher with 468 yards and one touchdown while averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Larry Simmons is the leading receiver with 318 yards and an average of 15.9 yards per reception. Linebacker Tre Pickney is the leading tackler with 67. Two players have 3.0 quarterback sacks each to lead Southern Miss and safety Dylan Lawrence is the leader in interceptions with two
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Best Bets for South Alabama vs. Southern Miss
Full-Game Side Bet
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South Alabama is tough offensively and above average on defense. The Jaguars are scoring an average of 34.4 points per game and have a very strong running game that averages 199.7 yards rushing per game and will use that ground attack against one of the weakest defenses in the nation against the run. Southern Miss is allowing an average of 233.3 yards rushing per game which is 132nd or two from the bottom of the heap. South Alabama will shut down a very anemic offense for Southern Miss that averages just 14.9 points per game and has 26 turnovers. Southern Miss has just four touchdown passes this season. Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of the last five games and the Golden Eagles are 3-9 ATS over the last 12 games played on a Saturday.
Prediction: South Alabama Jaguars to cover
Full-Game Total Pick
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South Alabama will score more than its share of points against a very weak Southern Miss defense but the Jaguars will hold a very anemic Southern Miss offense to few points if any. The total has finished under in five of South Alabama’s last seven games, in each of South Alabama’s last five games on the road and in eight of the last 11 games that South Alabama has played against a team from the Sun Belt Conference.
Prediction: UNDER
